Friday, March 27, 2009

Mortgage Market Commentary

Mortgage Market Commentary

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) prices gain (rates fall) as stocks globally are lower (DOW down 100) and the Fed prepares to buy notes for a second time this week to hold down borrowing costs; FNMA 4.5% coupon 102.06bps, up 17bps and the high of the session. Personal Income slipped 0.2% in February while Consumer Spending slowed to a 0.2% rise. Firming oil prices did damage to overall inflation, the price gauge tied to spending patterns rose 1.0%. Today's report offers a picture of an economy that remains in recession, while the pace of contraction has eased the consumer is losing ground. Consumer Sentiment edged 0.3% higher to a still severely low level of 56.6 in March. Expectations did rise 2.5% to 53 indicating the pessimism isn't getting worse but the current conditions component fell 3% to 62.3 a reflection of ongoing contraction in the labor market. Rates should improve today as most lenders resisted passing through yesterday's late afternoon gains. As always on a Friday, be watchful of an afternoon sell-off; consider locking off morning pricing.

Massachusetts Mortgage

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